Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Danish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
994 | 952 | 56% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
1055 | 1094 | 44% | 2025-03-31 | Lost |
1018 | 1103 | 38% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
1018 | 1103 | 38% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
1044 | 1017 | 54% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
1282 | 1010 | 83% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
1264 | 1290 | 46% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
1189 | 1078 | 65% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
1044 | 931 | 66% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
980 | 1122 | 31% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
1100 | 841 | 82% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
1121 | 1117 | 51% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
1087 | 968 | 66% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1086.5 vs 1045.8 has a 55.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).