Sheep in Wolf's Clothing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (British): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1236 | 20% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1142 | 52% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1122 | 50% | 2025-02-14 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1032 | 68% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 910 | 891 | 53% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1145 | 1141 | 51% | 2024-10-24 | Won |
| 953 | 1049 | 37% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1049 | 37% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 931 | 1044 | 34% | 2024-09-29 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | 2024-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1069.7 has a 46.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).