Buckley's Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (9 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Australian): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 908 | 908 | 50% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
| 1008 | 998 | 51% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1008 | 924 | 62% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 982 | 1007 | 46% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1061 | 1016 | 56% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1038 | 883 | 71% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1133 | 1053 | 61% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1141 | 56% | 2023-09-07 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2023-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1059.2 vs 995.8 has a 59.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).