Latecomers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (18 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 25
Defender wins (French): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 947 | 50% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 927 | 1142 | 22% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 957 | 1076 | 34% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1078 | 1064 | 52% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-03-21 | Won |
| 1210 | 1085 | 67% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1109 | 1126 | 48% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1191 | 1029 | 72% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 927 | 62% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 1082 | 32% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 1009 | 973 | 55% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1059 | 48% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
| 1045 | 933 | 66% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 1081 | 57% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1096 | 78% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 1038 | 861 | 73% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2023-06-12 | Lost |
| 957 | 1193 | 20% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1041.9 has a 53.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).