Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (23 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1055 | 70% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1128 | 43% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1066 | 968 | 64% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 971 | 58% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 977 | 60% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1412 | 16% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1030 | 1310 | 17% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1310 | 22% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1098 | 43% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1137 | 1018 | 66% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1166 | 1264 | 36% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 970 | 1048 | 39% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1009 | 57% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 950 | 58% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 1044 | 931 | 66% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1109 | 40% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1071.7 vs 1099 has a 46.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).