Circle the Wagons!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (5 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 0
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1032 | 45% | 2023-09-24 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1084 | 974 | 65% | 2022-05-28 | Tied |
| 964 | 1165 | 24% | 2022-05-19 | Lost |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2022-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 989 vs 1051.4 has a 41.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).