The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2025-05-04 | Won |
| 994 | 1029 | 45% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1153 | 1133 | 53% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 974 | 1084 | 35% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1050.3 has a 47.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).