Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (12 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 1182 | 43% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1032 | 65% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 909 | 964 | 42% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1117 | 42% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1082 | 964 | 66% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 961 | 63% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1044 | 806 | 80% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 988 | 965 | 53% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1037.7 vs 1008.8 has a 54.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).