Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (10 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1032 | 68% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 893 | 964 | 40% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1116 | 46% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1084 | 964 | 67% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1080 | 910 | 73% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 819 | 80% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 970 | 927 | 56% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 931 | 66% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.3 vs 977.7 has a 59.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).