Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (35 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 50
Defender wins (German): 37
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 983 | 58% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 911 | 969 | 42% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1025 | 957 | 60% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 968 | 1042 | 40% | 2024-04-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1285 | 39% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 968 | 1057 | 37% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1002 | 864 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1002 | 864 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 789 | 1040 | 19% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 927 | 1015 | 38% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1061 | 89% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 1037 | 41% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2022-08-24 | Tied |
| 964 | 951 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 872 | 1073 | 24% | 2022-02-08 | Won |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2021-09-23 | Tied |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1183 | 996 | 75% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 952 | 1106 | 29% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1038 | 54% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 983 | 1042 | 42% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1228 | 1210 | 53% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 880 | 68% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1111 | 1092 | 53% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1022 | 53% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1037.9 vs 1050 has a 48.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).