Trap by Mishap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (13 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Finnish/Swedish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1058 | 57% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
| 1136 | 1152 | 48% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-03-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 934 | 61% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 970 | 1073 | 36% | 2021-09-13 | Lost |
| 856 | 894 | 45% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 856 | 1090 | 21% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1058 | 62% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1306 | 1095 | 77% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1252 | 1116 | 69% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1162 | 1116 | 57% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1044 | 931 | 66% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1074.1 vs 1062.2 has a 51.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).