Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (5 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai): 5
Defender wins (Vichy): 3
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai): 1
Defender wins (Vichy): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1153 | 1133 | 53% | 2024-11-03 | Lost |
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2024-07-30 | Won |
| 1029 | 994 | 55% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 957 | 1193 | 20% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1210 | 51% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1081.4 vs 1105 has a 46.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).