Feast Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (25 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 37
Defender wins (German): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 859 | 848 | 52% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 989 | 993 | 49% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 911 | 978 | 40% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 1061 | 844 | 78% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 1010 | 969 | 56% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1001 | 950 | 57% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 1082 | 44% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 911 | 982 | 40% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 983 | 973 | 51% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 918 | 1009 | 37% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 1154 | 33% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1210 | 26% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1032 | 76% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 937 | 1051 | 34% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
| 911 | 1006 | 37% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1151 | 1014 | 69% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 1205 | 1116 | 63% | 2020-02-27 | Won |
| 1061 | 973 | 62% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1044 | 56% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1157 | 40% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1033 vs 1030.8 has a 50.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).