Prelude to Bodange
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (4 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Belgian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1025 | 45% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 1231 | 24% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1032 | 46% | 2019-11-12 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1127.8 has a 37.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).