Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (9 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 9
Defender wins (American): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2024-12-23 | Won |
| 1082 | 1038 | 56% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 922 | 1141 | 22% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
| 911 | 1029 | 34% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 911 | 1029 | 34% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2020-09-30 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1074 vs 1035.9 has a 55.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).