Operation Schwarz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Croatian): 6
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Croatian): 1
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-04-03 | Won |
| 968 | 1049 | 39% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 968 | 1049 | 39% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
| 1193 | 957 | 80% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 975 | 57% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1086 | 47% | 2010-08-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1022.4 vs 1028.1 has a 49.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).