Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (8 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 980 | 51% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 995 | 1049 | 42% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 957 | 1010 | 42% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2021-12-25 | Won |
| 1059 | 1042 | 52% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 911 | 1091 | 26% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 911 | 58% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 963.6 vs 1041.8 has a 38.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).