Hatten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (14 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2025-04-30 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 994 | 1028 | 45% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
| 995 | 1027 | 45% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1220 | 1016 | 76% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-10-16 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1269 | 43% | 2022-04-04 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1176 | 39% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1196 | 969 | 79% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1016 | 982 | 55% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
| 1174 | 1176 | 50% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
| 1057 | 1174 | 34% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 970 | 1128 | 29% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1043 | 51% | 2019-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1100.5 vs 1117 has a 47.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).