Liehr Launches First
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (42 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (American): 71
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1061 | 973 | 62% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 911 | 60% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 869 | 994 | 33% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | 2022-08-03 | Won |
| 1022 | 1084 | 41% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1116 | 51% | 2022-06-12 | Won |
| 943 | 1316 | 10% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1029 | 84% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1316 | 14% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1075 | 908 | 72% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
| 994 | 1025 | 46% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 924 | 931 | 49% | 2021-07-04 | Won |
| 927 | 987 | 41% | 2021-06-09 | Won |
| 996 | 999 | 50% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1126 | 1006 | 67% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 925 | 911 | 52% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1210 | 25% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1106 | 34% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Won |
| 1054 | 1099 | 44% | 2019-07-27 | Lost |
| 911 | 1109 | 24% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1032 | 75% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 982 | 1009 | 46% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 966 | 899 | 60% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1151 | 37% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1227 | 49% | 2019-02-08 | Won |
| 1032 | 877 | 71% | 2019-01-29 | Won |
| 1079 | 1029 | 57% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
| 1094 | 878 | 78% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1084 | 1058 | 54% | 2018-12-21 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2018-11-05 | Lost |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1043 | 45% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1061 | 42% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1059 | 48% | 2018-08-12 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1046.4 has a 49.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).