Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 23
Defender wins (German (SS)): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 994 | 50% | 2025-08-19 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1182 | 48% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 940 | 1324 | 10% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1016 | 72% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 986 | 986 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 879 | 1027 | 30% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 866 | 900 | 45% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 965 | 988 | 47% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1154 | 44% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1099 | 927 | 73% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1045 | 1182 | 31% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1036 | 56% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1028 | 1060 | 45% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1194 | 871 | 87% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1090 | 1029 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 1057.6 has a 48.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).