De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 25
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1143 | 35% | 2024-12-25 | Won |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2024-04-14 | Lost |
| 1069 | 986 | 62% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1082 | 48% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 1004 | 1137 | 32% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
| 1061 | 1104 | 44% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 910 | 1219 | 14% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1121 | 1316 | 25% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 1282 | 12% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.5 vs 1133.8 has a 37.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).