The Attempt to Relieve Peiper
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 942 | 50% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
| 1016 | 963 | 58% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 910 | 1061 | 30% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 1062 | 1061 | 50% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-03-05 | Lost |
| 852 | 989 | 31% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
| 961 | 877 | 62% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1008 | 78% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
| 903 | 949 | 43% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1219 | 951 | 82% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1032 vs 980.9 has a 57.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).