At Sword Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (6 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 6
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1210 | 1064 | 70% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
862 | 989 | 32% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
1009 | 1157 | 30% | 2018-08-07 | Lost |
1009 | 1157 | 30% | 2018-07-08 | Lost |
899 | 989 | 37% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
989 | 899 | 63% | 2014-11-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 996.3 vs 1042.5 has a 43.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).