Heart of Athena
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (Partisans): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 866 | 937 | 40% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2019-02-10 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 949 | 1029 | 39% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1038 | 1126 | 38% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
| 973 | 1032 | 42% | 2016-09-09 | Won |
| 968 | 1110 | 31% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 960 | 957 | 50% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1282 | 31% | 2016-03-20 | Won |
| 940 | 989 | 43% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 975.9 vs 1034.1 has a 41.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).