Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (French): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1079 | 1210 | 32% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 1061 | 910 | 70% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1082 | 45% | 2019-06-02 | Won |
| 883 | 1061 | 26% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1080 | 983 | 64% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1282 | 31% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1061.6 vs 1075.4 has a 48.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).