Night Fans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (Finnish): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-04-16 | Won |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 931 | 67% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1153 | 47% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2018-08-19 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1081.4 vs 1069.5 has a 51.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).