Forest Bastion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1049 | 42% | 2022-10-07 | Lost |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2021-02-20 | Won |
| 1015 | 919 | 63% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1133 | 1081 | 57% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 911 | 997 | 38% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 911 | 997 | 38% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 877 | 71% | 2019-07-10 | Tied |
| 1014 | 1026 | 48% | 2018-08-05 | Lost |
| 976 | 1038 | 41% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1216 | 26% | 2017-12-17 | Lost |
| 983 | 1228 | 20% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1154 | 36% | 2015-08-07 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
| 789 | 969 | 26% | 2015-04-10 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1025.6 vs 1041.2 has a 47.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).