Hoepner's Edict
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (14 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (French): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1061 | 1009 | 57% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
1109 | 1116 | 49% | 2021-08-15 | Lost |
1116 | 883 | 79% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
1207 | 1223 | 48% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
1015 | 930 | 62% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
1006 | 1094 | 38% | 2016-10-23 | Tied |
1084 | 1029 | 58% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
1082 | 1094 | 48% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
1223 | 1166 | 58% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2013-11-01 | Lost |
1141 | 906 | 79% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
1219 | 1098 | 67% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
1169 | 1133 | 55% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1132.1 vs 1053.2 has a 61.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).