The Terror of the Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (8 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 1183 | 42% | 2025-06-16 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 1039 | 45% | 2022-12-12 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2021-08-11 | Won |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-01-22 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2014-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1097.8 vs 1090.4 has a 51.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).