The Heat is On
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 1016 | 73% | 2025-04-29 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2025-01-11 | Won |
| 1143 | 1033 | 65% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1219 | 41% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1083 | 52% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 1038 | 41% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 976 | 59% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1158 | 37% | 2012-07-04 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1060.9 vs 1091.5 has a 45.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).