Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (18 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 39
Defender wins (German): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 933 | 66% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
| 977 | 1137 | 28% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
| 1210 | 776 | 92% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1316 | 1025 | 84% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 881 | 1038 | 29% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1141 | 41% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 1038 | 41% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 930 | 916 | 52% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 1004 | 1137 | 32% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 989 | 930 | 58% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 920 | 924 | 49% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1082 | 1094 | 48% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 982 | 938 | 56% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 933 | 1029 | 37% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1025.9 vs 1025.3 has a 50.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).