Bonny Nouvelle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (3 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (Vichy French): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1142 | 35% | 2025-02-02 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1038 | 62% | 2012-04-24 | Won |
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1093 vs 1063.3 has a 54.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).