After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (16 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1210 | 53% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1004 | 1137 | 32% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1109 | 54% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 910 | 1219 | 14% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1058 | 72% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1210 | 51% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1316 | 19% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1054 | 50% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 1066 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1029 | 66% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1083.1 vs 1091.5 has a 48.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).