Shouting Into The Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 224 (53 on the archive and 171 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 123
Defender wins (Russian): 100
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1116 | 30% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1020 | 1116 | 37% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 872 | 894 | 47% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 956 | 75% | 2024-10-16 | Won |
| 969 | 1109 | 31% | 2024-08-01 | Won |
| 961 | 1082 | 33% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1115 | 55% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 950 | 957 | 49% | 2024-06-11 | Won |
| 1087 | 1045 | 56% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1115 | 1193 | 39% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 1316 | 1073 | 80% | 2024-05-29 | Won |
| 1061 | 1068 | 49% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 967 | 1210 | 20% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1228 | 47% | 2022-10-03 | Lost |
| 1008 | 931 | 61% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-12-24 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 931 | 1173 | 20% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2021-06-24 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1143 | 51% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2020-11-30 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2020-04-09 | Lost |
| 1082 | 998 | 62% | 2019-10-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 1157 | 41% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1027 | 1042 | 48% | 2018-03-13 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2017-07-23 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1133 | 43% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1282 | 929 | 88% | 2016-03-19 | Won |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2015-07-25 | Won |
| 1242 | 1086 | 71% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 999 | 1086 | 38% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1064 | 950 | 66% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1111 | 1137 | 46% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1154 | 1066 | 62% | 2014-11-04 | Won |
| 1137 | 1117 | 53% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 989 | 880 | 65% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1099 | 59% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
| 1037 | 909 | 68% | 2012-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1038 | 41% | 2012-01-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1407 | 12% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1004 | 1210 | 23% | 2011-02-15 | Lost |
| 864 | 1029 | 28% | 2011-01-18 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1316 | 17% | 2011-01-12 | Won |
| 1141 | 1090 | 57% | 2010-09-26 | Won |
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2010-09-15 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1141 | 41% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 884 | 77% | 2010-07-23 | Lost |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
| 1118 | 1117 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (33 wins) average ELOs: 1072.1 vs 1084.8 has a 48.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).