Task Force to Cotignac
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (6 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / FFI): 12
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 852 | 985 | 32% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1061 | 910 | 70% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 1059 | 1042 | 52% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1008 | 1109 | 36% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1115 | 53% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1015.8 vs 1063.3 has a 43.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).