ASL Scenario Archive

Failure to Communicate

Games with no balance used/recorded: 40

Attacker wins (German): 24

Defender wins (French): 16

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
944	944	50%	2025-04-13	Won
1133	1147	48%	2024-01-06	Won
995	1049	42%	2022-08-17	Lost
1243	950	84%	2022-04-24	Lost
1116	1058	58%	2021-08-14	Won
883	1116	21%	2021-07-25	Won
1132	1126	51%	2021-01-16	Lost
884	937	42%	2020-10-31	Won
1034	1112	39%	2020-08-11	Won
1225	1026	76%	2020-07-25	Won
935	1106	27%	2020-07-10	Lost
1058	1084	46%	2020-03-27	Won
1210	1219	49%	2020-02-03	Won
1154	1219	41%	2020-02-03	Won
1087	989	64%	2018-12-28	Won
1084	1046	55%	2018-07-06	Lost
976	976	50%	2018-01-23	Won
1137	960	73%	2017-11-04	Won
1137	1151	48%	2017-09-30	Won
1109	976	68%	2017-04-12	Won
1086	966	67%	2016-12-17	Won
1058	982	61%	2016-07-19	Lost
979	1141	28%	2015-07-03	Lost
1223	1171	57%	2015-01-22	Won
1029	1100	40%	2014-11-10	Won
1020	1038	47%	2014-08-05	Lost
1080	1223	31%	2013-10-23	Lost
1091	983	65%	2013-03-09	Lost
1085	989	63%	2012-05-15	Won
1026	1014	52%	2011-11-19	Lost
1029	943	62%	2011-11-01	Won
1149	1029	67%	2011-02-02	Won
982	909	60%	2010-09-13	Lost
1082	1067	52%	2010-05-30	Won
1032	1038	49%	2010-05-30	Lost
1210	976	79%	2010-05-07	Won
909	1037	32%	2010-04-16	Won
1016	1110	37%	2010-03-05	Lost
1043	1110	40%	2010-03-05	Lost
940	1040	36%	2010-01-16	Lost

Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1051.4 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).