Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Canadian): 6
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 1047 | 31% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1055 | 48% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 995 | 1086 | 37% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1132 | 970 | 72% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 1009 | 52% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1080 | 1066 | 52% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1306 | 11% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1219 | 42% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1090 | 1067 | 53% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1010 | 53% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1055.5 vs 1074.4 has a 47.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).