Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (10 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 15
Defender wins (American): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 900 | 983 | 38% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 989 | 57% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1081 | 1133 | 43% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 925 | 65% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1038 | 61% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1029 | 43% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1210 | 976 | 79% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2008-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1045.2 vs 1019.4 has a 53.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).