First Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 22
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1008 | 991 | 52% | 2023-02-27 | Won |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1228 | 1032 | 76% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1210 | 944 | 82% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1219 | 36% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 1052 | 983 | 60% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2017-06-22 | Lost |
| 1021 | 964 | 58% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 1116 | 1080 | 55% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1141 | 61% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2015-06-06 | Tied |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 1064 | 1086 | 47% | 2015-02-10 | Won |
| 1086 | 1064 | 53% | 2015-02-10 | Lost |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1137 | 47% | 2013-04-11 | Won |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2012-12-08 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1094 | 42% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1004 | 63% | 2012-07-05 | Lost |
| 1033 | 973 | 59% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1013 | 50% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 880 | 980 | 36% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 984 | 1054 | 40% | 2011-01-19 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-07-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2009-04-18 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
| 1096 | 1099 | 50% | 2009-02-07 | Won |
| 1316 | 1285 | 54% | 2009-01-07 | Won |
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2008-12-05 | Won |
| 1002 | 1015 | 48% | 2008-11-09 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1228 | 28% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 888 | 1094 | 23% | 2008-10-09 | Won |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-09-05 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1219 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1075.7 has a 47.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).