42nd Street
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 11
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
957 | 1054 | 36% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
974 | 1002 | 46% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
904 | 1086 | 26% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
1193 | 1141 | 57% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
1029 | 1100 | 40% | 2014-12-29 | Won |
1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
1002 | 1029 | 46% | 2010-05-19 | Won |
1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2009-05-12 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1063.2 has a 47.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).