The Chernichivo Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (15 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1210 | 33% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1061 | 1027 | 55% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 911 | 957 | 43% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 872 | 922 | 43% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1407 | 974 | 92% | 2021-12-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1110 | 32% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 986 | 983 | 50% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1193 | 26% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 1068 | 1316 | 19% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
| 1126 | 1038 | 62% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2009-01-12 | Won |
| 1017 | 1210 | 25% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1210 | 1012 | 76% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1082 | 69% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1254 | 1133 | 67% | 2005-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1081.7 vs 1085.5 has a 49.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).