Hornet's Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 776 | 70% | 2023-05-16 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1048 | 72% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1219 | 28% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2019-01-14 | Lost |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2010-09-21 | Won |
| 1094 | 1167 | 40% | 2010-06-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1038.7 vs 1096.2 has a 41.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).