Raiders of the Chaco
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Bolivian): 5
Defender wins (Paraguayan): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 2025-08-21 | Won |
| 974 | 1083 | 35% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 900 | 1032 | 32% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1060 | 47% | 2011-09-11 | Won |
| 890 | 927 | 45% | 2005-04-16 | Won |
| 853 | 1036 | 26% | 2003-10-06 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1115 | 72% | 1998-06-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 995.7 vs 1041.7 has a 43.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).