Operation Nordwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 137 (11 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 75
Defender wins (American): 62
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1137 | 998 | 69% | 2019-10-16 | Won |
| 910 | 1219 | 14% | 2019-08-06 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1096 | 78% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 944 | 1144 | 24% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1106 | 1094 | 52% | 2010-05-30 | Won |
| 847 | 1210 | 11% | 2005-03-05 | Lost |
| 1205 | 950 | 81% | 2002-10-25 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 1998-12-29 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1061 | 1033 | 54% | 1996-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1076.2 vs 1099.3 has a 46.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).