Over Open Sights
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 44
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1015 | 992 | 53% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 988 | 965 | 53% | 2024-10-24 | Won |
| 1027 | 990 | 55% | 2024-08-28 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1282 | 48% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1329 | 988 | 88% | 2024-07-06 | Won |
| 1033 | 1004 | 54% | 2024-02-24 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1273 | 20% | 2023-08-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-29 | Lost |
| 1029 | 970 | 58% | 2022-11-15 | Won |
| 1413 | 1431 | 47% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
| 954 | 1431 | 6% | 2022-08-06 | Lost |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-05-06 | Won |
| 1182 | 1027 | 71% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1056 | 43% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 979 | 1039 | 41% | 2022-01-13 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-11-04 | Lost |
| 879 | 978 | 36% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 892 | 849 | 56% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
| 986 | 1033 | 43% | 2021-08-03 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1144 | 44% | 2021-08-02 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 984 | 1006 | 47% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2021-04-24 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-03-08 | Tied |
| 1141 | 964 | 73% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
| 1017 | 1228 | 23% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
| 1017 | 1228 | 23% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 909 | 939 | 46% | 2020-08-31 | Won |
| 1220 | 1016 | 76% | 2020-07-29 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1220 | 24% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 945 | 1128 | 26% | 2020-07-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1110 | 58% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 935 | 864 | 60% | 2019-12-17 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1027 | 62% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 1027 | 45% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 953 | 78% | 2019-08-05 | Lost |
| 892 | 926 | 45% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1082 | 1152 | 40% | 2018-10-27 | Won |
| 1027 | 1056 | 46% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 1032 | 939 | 63% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 1032 | 994 | 55% | 2018-03-12 | Lost |
| 911 | 1032 | 33% | 2017-11-01 | Lost |
| 934 | 1032 | 36% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1026 | 66% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2017-05-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 892 | 70% | 2016-09-05 | Won |
| 879 | 1027 | 30% | 2016-08-02 | Tied |
| 926 | 1063 | 31% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1152 | 39% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 884 | 909 | 46% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
| 1150 | 1196 | 43% | 2015-12-25 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1111 | 50% | 2015-09-02 | Won |
| 1001 | 1027 | 46% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
| 1100 | 972 | 68% | 2014-06-18 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-26 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1051 | 51% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 1022 | 46% | 2013-03-18 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1220 | 49% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1028 | 52% | 2012-10-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1029 | 53% | 2011-02-18 | Lost |
| 988 | 985 | 50% | 2010-07-21 | Lost |
| 1012 | 991 | 53% | 2010-06-07 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-11-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1045 | 40% | 2009-10-15 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-02-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-02-16 | Lost |
| 920 | 969 | 43% | 2007-12-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1006 | 51% | 2007-08-25 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1096 | 42% | 2006-08-05 | Won |
| 860 | 832 | 54% | 2006-05-08 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-04-13 | Won |
| 943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-03-21 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-01-13 | Won |
| 1093 | 1050 | 56% | 2005-12-29 | Lost |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1032.1 vs 1046.9 has a 47.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).