Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 172 (17 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 74
Defender wins (German): 98
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
892 | 917 | 46% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Lost |
1042 | 938 | 65% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1058 | 1049 | 51% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
926 | 989 | 41% | 2018-03-30 | Won |
1089 | 1075 | 52% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
995 | 1049 | 42% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
847 | 869 | 47% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
847 | 869 | 47% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
922 | 922 | 50% | 2012-02-21 | Won |
965 | 1029 | 41% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
1088 | 1029 | 58% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
1112 | 1133 | 47% | 2001-01-26 | Won |
978 | 1133 | 29% | 2000-12-28 | Won |
1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
847 | 1117 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 994.2 vs 1024.4 has a 45.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).