The Factory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (9 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 24
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1252 | 15% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1018 | 61% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 899 | 986 | 38% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-06-14 | Lost |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-06-04 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2002-09-05 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2002-09-03 | Won |
| 1052 | 1018 | 55% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1093.6 has a 42.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).