The Tractor Works
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 178 (49 on the archive and 129 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (Russian): 117
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1032 | 42% | 2024-06-28 | Lost |
| 1019 | 991 | 54% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1005 | 911 | 63% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-09-14 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1210 | 28% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1032 | 964 | 60% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1224 | 49% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 868 | 971 | 36% | 2021-05-20 | Won |
| 1072 | 966 | 65% | 2021-03-16 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2020-11-10 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2020-11-10 | Won |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 928 | 911 | 52% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1004 | 54% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 911 | 971 | 41% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 926 | 965 | 44% | 2018-03-23 | Tied |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2018-02-01 | Tied |
| 1042 | 1059 | 48% | 2017-12-09 | Lost |
| 1193 | 957 | 80% | 2017-09-22 | Won |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 911 | 956 | 44% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 911 | 1020 | 35% | 2017-03-03 | Won |
| 999 | 986 | 52% | 2016-10-24 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2015-10-15 | Lost |
| 1219 | 935 | 84% | 2015-08-07 | Won |
| 909 | 997 | 38% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 957 | 1193 | 20% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1219 | 30% | 2013-07-09 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1073 | 70% | 2013-07-08 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1030 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Won |
| 1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2012-09-10 | Lost |
| 959 | 957 | 50% | 2011-07-28 | Lost |
| 924 | 963 | 44% | 2010-11-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2010-10-02 | Lost |
| 1054 | 984 | 60% | 2010-03-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1026 | 50% | 2010-03-11 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2010-01-07 | Tied |
| 1149 | 1088 | 59% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1126 | 1045 | 61% | 2009-05-01 | Lost |
| 952 | 919 | 55% | 2008-12-23 | Won |
| 1141 | 1090 | 57% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 901 | 932 | 46% | 2007-10-12 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-03-26 | Tied |
| 1186 | 1037 | 70% | 2005-09-08 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1316 | 46% | 2005-01-01 | Lost |
| 862 | 907 | 44% | 2004-09-01 | Lost |
| 984 | 1054 | 40% | 1992-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1026.1 has a 50.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).