The Coconut Plantation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (9 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Australian): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1141 | 48% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
| 1254 | 1133 | 67% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 925 | 963 | 45% | 2011-05-21 | Won |
| 983 | 1109 | 33% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1210 | 37% | 2006-09-25 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1029 | 51% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1210 | 990 | 78% | 2005-10-28 | Lost |
| 984 | 1117 | 32% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.2 vs 1070.7 has a 49.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).