Silesian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 327 (47 on the archive and 280 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 163
Defender wins (Russian): 164
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1110 | 55% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1210 | 973 | 80% | 2025-02-12 | Won |
| 959 | 1038 | 39% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 947 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1094 | 54% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1027 | 52% | 2023-07-11 | Won |
| 892 | 984 | 37% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 940 | 1110 | 27% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1103 | 1193 | 37% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 969 | 1053 | 38% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1219 | 20% | 2019-12-23 | Won |
| 976 | 1038 | 41% | 2019-09-19 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1029 | 56% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 926 | 957 | 46% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 1054 | 966 | 62% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 911 | 1092 | 26% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
| 911 | 1092 | 26% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1126 | 75% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 944 | 1144 | 24% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2016-09-13 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-11 | Lost |
| 950 | 1095 | 30% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
| 1094 | 988 | 65% | 2014-10-04 | Lost |
| 1126 | 990 | 69% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 844 | 1038 | 25% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2010-11-26 | Won |
| 1056 | 1018 | 55% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1141 | 1090 | 57% | 2010-10-16 | Lost |
| 1210 | 976 | 79% | 2010-03-23 | Won |
| 905 | 1087 | 26% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1010 | 50% | 2008-11-05 | Lost |
| 990 | 1087 | 36% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 977 | 1407 | 8% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-04-04 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1035 | 73% | 2005-03-23 | Won |
| 1133 | 1147 | 48% | 2002-09-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1091 | 51% | 2001-10-13 | Lost |
| 998 | 1082 | 38% | 2001-08-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2001-07-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-07-18 | Won |
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2001-07-11 | Won |
| 999 | 1210 | 23% | 2001-06-22 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1033 vs 1075.4 has a 43.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).