The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 946 | 969 | 47% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1193 | 27% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1016 | 73% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 924 | 68% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1054 | 910 | 70% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 872 | 969 | 36% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 997 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 887 | 957 | 40% | 2019-05-15 | Won |
| 869 | 847 | 53% | 2017-06-19 | Won |
| 1193 | 873 | 86% | 2016-12-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1028 | 983 | 56% | 2015-10-28 | Lost |
| 1026 | 913 | 66% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 950 | 1010 | 41% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 932 | 64% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1104 | 65% | 2000-06-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 1026 | 48% | 1999-07-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1133 | 29% | 1999-01-06 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1029 | 65% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 1998-03-18 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1032.4 vs 997.6 has a 54.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).